Progression

...basically the food pyramid for models. Remember the food pyramid they pushed on us kids in the 90s? The one that made us all sick and unhealthy and fat little bastards, the one that emphasized ten thousand servings of red meat and milk? Did you know it didn't start out that way? It was originally designed by just such a closed body of wizened scientists protecting the public good. They got together like Demis is recommending and the version they recommended to congress was a simple pyramid that emphasized fruits and vegetables, exactly the kind of thing we know now to be good and healthy eating. What happened? It got lobbied to shit. That's what will we get with FINRA for models. Privileged incumbents. Politics. Push pull. Lobbying and influence. Especially as big companies learn to pack the bold new alphabet agency with insiders. Big regulation can only be absorbed by big companies, putting smaller model makers and open source at a massive disadvantage, even if they pay lip service to it. We'll end up with an army of clip board toting bureaucrats who don't understand what they're regulating with 1000 shifting standards and tests that sound great in reality but just amount to a check box exercise in compliance that only teams of dedicated other suits in big companies with big money can afford to adsorb. I know I'm fighting a losing battle here. Something like this is probably inevitable now. I don't care. I still have to sound the alarm anyway, even if I'm shouting into the wind like Kassandra telling you Troy is going to come crashing down even though you can't hear me. We are going to regulate ourselves into oblivion while China just hits the gas and builds an alternative chip supply chain, massive datacenters and new power plants while we are naval gazing and talking about our past importance. That's because the problem is we have a perfect storm of stupidity driving all our decisions now. Protectionism. Rising ultra-nationalism. Aggressive lobbying by literally batshit insane doom groups and NIMYBs shouting about imaginary problems like datacenters vaporizing all the water while they play golf and water their lawn and chow down on burgers. We've got APTs ratcheting all this insanity up and egging it on, poisoning people's minds. Multi-billion dollar doom group posts on YouTube have 300M views! We also got a generation of politicians who think they can "get ahead" of this technology despite zero ability to predict the future. When Section 230 passed the number one question from congress people was "what is the Internet?" And these visionaries are supposed to predict Uber, social media, WhatsApp, TikTok, AirBnb and everything else that came after? It's delusional and dangerous. No matter what prediction market toting morons tell you, humans are really really really bad at long time horizon thinking and planning and just about everything we do with regulation now will just lock in our misunderstandings today, choke out lateral thinking and privilege a small group of increasingly expensive and paternalizing British East India companies. So I offer you another blast from the past as my answer to new regulation and study groups: "Just say no." Say no to any and all attempts to tangle up the future in a mess of red tape. Say no to privileged people privileging themselves even more at our expense. Say no to the dominant theme of the time which is "we must act now." To that I say, we don't. Proactionary Principle. Never Precautionary Principle. Prove harm in the real world from evidence. Imaginary harm is imaginary. Remember the Population Bomb? Stupid policies that came from that are the things like the one child policy in China that is now causing rapid population decline there. Ironic. Too bad the government visionaries couldn't see the green revolution coming and that all their stupid policy making was actually causing the problem they feared most. Remember the AI jobs apocalypse? Everyone was convinced and it's proving to be total freaking nonsense as anyone who studies history and economics could have told you if you wanted to listen. We cannot predict the future well and we should not try to create fixes for imaginary problems now. Fix things when they actually break. So say it with me now again ten more times: Just say no to the food pyramid for models. — Daniel Jeffries Thanks for continuing to be a voice of reason in an increasingly irrational debate. The potential dangers of artificial intelligence are dwarfed by the very real dangers of human stupidity. I just hope more people realize that before it's too late. — Wolfram Ravenwolf I appreciate the kind words. I increasingly feel like an island but so be it. I will keep saying what I have to say. — Daniel Jeffries

Source: https://x.com/Dan_Jeffries1/status/2077312358850912408/history