We have come to a time in the progress of AI where we have reached the maximum level of disappointment per unit time before an eventual realization of progress, a phenomenon known as "Lazzaro's point."
When plotting a linear expectation line against an exponential curve, it can appear that a tremendous amount of time has passed without achieving the level of progress we desire (the Singularity).
At this exact point on the graph, a maximum amount of time has occurred in which the exponential line (real progress) has not reached the linear one (level of progress we expect). This can lead to the feeling of a "plateau being reached" or a "bust." In reality, this point lies directly before the event that changes history.
How does it feel to stand on Lazzaro's point?